nonc0mpliant

so, i have been watching with disgust the latest debacle to scare the global money markets. the complete meltdown of the so called “sub-prime” mortgage market  is the inevitable result of the over-extension of credit that happens when the market does really well for a long time.

what happens is this: the market is booming. almost everyone who wants one has a job (never mind the fact that real wages are down, inflation sucks for poor folks and that a significant number of the employed are under-employed). interest rates remain low however and banks and creditors start to salivate over new potential customers. where did these new customers come from? simple, they were always there; they were just never considered good credit risks.

so, what changed? almost nothing in any real sense. did millions of people suddenly become better credit risks? no. did the credit industry have a change of heart? no. the only thing that happened was the ease with which they could borrow money themselves, not to mention all the huge profits being made by some companies–you have to find somewhere to put that money. so, creditors began loosening their loan criteria.

the only result of this is a whole bunch of people either being duped into horrible adjustable-rate mortgages and/or balloon payment loans (i.e. low payments for a short time, then boom, not so low payments anymore). any numb nut can see this is a recipe for disaster, especially when this becomes industry practice. one company doing it, okay. half a million policies, no problem. when dangerous lending practices become standard operating procedure–not a good idea.

the inevitable result is what you now see happening–millions of people defaulting on loans they never should have gotten in the first place, real estate speculators having to bear the brunt of a collapsing market, and homebuilders just scared shitless (great articles from CNN here, here and here).

what is going to happen now? well, Wall street will fire a few people from its bloated staff levels, the dollar will slide ( here and here) and the fed will begin finding out some way of helping those fuckers who got us here in the first place.

my boss just walked in and asked about how the market was doing. i told him that it had opened with a 300+ point gain, but had since receded a bit, but still up. he knows me of course, so he asked if I was happy about the slow bleed that has crept into the market (which is down almost 10% from its highs).

i do love to see the elite class get what is coming to them here or there, but that is not the case here. it is not the wealthy (or just well off) that are gonna take the brunt of an economic slowdown, it will be the average jane and joe who lose their home and their job.

This entry was posted on Friday, August 17th, 2007 at 12:41 pm and is filed under politics, daily. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.